Prévision communautaire actuelle
New Armstrong 79%En tête parmi 8 options
New Armstrong 79%Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète4 janv. 25, 08:29 UTC31 déc. 35, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketWill Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
Manifold MarketsRègles
I will not bet.
- "The third rocket" should not be subjective, but rather the next main rocket in the Blue Origin lineage.
- We can only assume it will be similarly named.
- Update 2025-11-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Lunar Lander names do not count as Blue Origin rockets for the purposes of this market.