Prévision communautaire actuelle
Fusion 89.7%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète6 avr. 24, 00:43 UTC1 janv. 25, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any company successfully develop a therapeutic treatment that rejuvenates healthspan by at least 10 years by 2030?
Manifold Markets10 technologies that might exist in 5 years
Manifold MarketsWhat'll be the conclusions of a large study into the ease of learning quantum mechanics with different interpretations?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen related to the Hantavirus in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRègles
The technologies can be explicitly sci-fi-inspired, but obviously don't have to be.
- Add your own! Unrelated or trivial answers will be N/A'd.
- All developed technologies resolve YES once they are in use (past the research phase) and technologies that don't exist resolve NO if/when we travel to the stars: aka when at least one person makes a transit attempt with a reasonable expectation of survival and success.
- AI-developed tech counts, if the AI was originally made by humans.
- Presumptive alien-tech and alien-AI-tech don't count.
- The close date is highly speculative and may be pushed back until interstellar travel happens or humans are gone.