Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Test that tells you why you're sick (COVID vs flu vs strep throat vs cold) 99%En tête parmi 10 options
Test that tells you why you're sick (COVID vs flu vs strep throat vs cold) 99%Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète5 févr. 24, 17:11 UTC2 févr. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will at least 3 of the 10 Technologies that Won't Exist in 5 Years, exist in 5 years?
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Manifold MarketsWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketHow many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Kalshi2026 Ebola epidemic deaths?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Inspired by this post: 10 technologies that won't exist in 5 years (wayback machine) The post claims all of these would be achievable within 5 years but there will not be sufficient funding.
- Also, note the footnotes with some relevant details.
- Published "Feb 2, 2024" and "in 5 years" means this closes "Feb 2, 2029".
- Each answers resolves YES if the technology exists by the close date.
- If no success can be found, answers resolve NO after the close date.
- When in doubt, I would tend towards NO to be favorable to the author.