Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Prison for life without possibility of parole 68%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
140
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète16 sept. 25, 21:15 UTC16 sept. 30, 21:14 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Tyler Robinson Sentence (first result)?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Tyler Robinson be convicted of?
Manifold MarketsWill Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
Resolves based on a consensus of reliable reports.
- Resolves when he physically begins serving a prison sentence or is executed, not at the initial sentencing announcement.
- If he is acquitted in the first sentencing, I will wait for the appeals.
- If he commits suicide before sentencing, this market will resolve to N/A. If there are options I should add, let me know and I can add them.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 498,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Tyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result) ?
- Manifold Markets cote Prison for life without possibility of parole à 68% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Tyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Tyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result) doit être résolu le 16 septembre 2030.
- Comment Tyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves based on a consensus of reliable reports.