Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuellePrison for life without possibility of parole 43.8%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète18 sept. 25, 23:47 UTC18 sept. 27, 23:40 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketTyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result)
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson executed to death penalty?
Manifold MarketsWill Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves based on the verdict handed down in the first trial, without regard to appeals or other later outcomes.
- Plea deal results included, this does not require the case to go to trial.
- Inspired by @/realDonaldTrump/tyler-robinson-sentence but intended to be shorter timeframe and cleaner.
- "Other" includes weird but technically possible results like fine or community service or other guilty pleas that result in punishment but no jail time.
- "the named outcome" includes mistrials, Robinson dying before a result, or other outcomes that do not produce a result.
- This market will not resolve n/a.
