Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuellePrison for life without possibility of parole 43.8%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète18 sept. 25, 23:47 UTC18 sept. 27, 23:40 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result)
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketWill Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
Resolves based on the verdict handed down in the first trial, without regard to appeals or other later outcomes.
- Plea deal results included, this does not require the case to go to trial.
- Inspired by @/realDonaldTrump/tyler-robinson-sentence but intended to be shorter timeframe and cleaner.
- "Other" includes weird but technically possible results like fine or community service or other guilty pleas that result in punishment but no jail time.
- "the named outcome" includes mistrials, Robinson dying before a result, or other outcomes that do not produce a result.
- This market will not resolve n/a.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 498,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Tyler Robinson Sentence (first result)? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Prison for life without possibility of parole à 44% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Tyler Robinson Sentence (first result)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Tyler Robinson Sentence (first result)? doit être résolu le 18 septembre 2027.
- Comment Tyler Robinson Sentence (first result)? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves based on the verdict handed down in the first trial, without regard to appeals or other later outcomes.