Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 54.7%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète29 juin 26, 13:14 UTC30 juil. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketWhat will Tyler Robinson be convicted of?
Manifold MarketsChud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
PolymarketWill Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result)
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Tyler Robinson is accused of killing Charlie Kirk in September of 2025.
- If Robinson is convicted of any homicide or murder charge in the ongoing case versus the state of Utah, then this will be resolved as yes.
- Conversely, if a plea deal is reached or if the relevant charges are dropped, then it will resolve as a "no".
- If a mistrial is declared, then the question will still be active until the deadline.
- Appeals and other motions will not be considered.
- The actual verdict issued by the court will be the final say.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 497,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 676 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 k €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- 577,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 55% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027? doit être résolu le 30 juillet 2027.
- Comment Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Tyler Robinson is accused of killing Charlie Kirk in September of 2025.