Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.5%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard22 oct. 25, 19:18 UTC30 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketWill Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result)
Manifold MarketsWhat will Tyler Robinson be convicted of?
Manifold MarketsZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Tyler James Robinson, 22, has been charged with aggravated murder for the assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University on September 10, 2025.
- Utah County prosecutors have announced they will seek the death penalty.
- This market resolves YES if Tyler Robinson receives a death sentence by December 31, 2026.
- It resolves NO if he receives any other sentence (life imprisonment, lesser charges, etc.) or if the case is still pending by that date.
- Resolution Criteria: Based on official court records and sentencing documents from Utah's 4th District Court.
- Sources include Utah Courts case records and major news outlets covering the sentencing.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 498,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026 doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2026.
- Comment Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Tyler James Robinson, 22, has been charged with aggravated murder for the assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University on September 10, 2025.