Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 66.4%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète11 févr. 24, 08:15 UTC1 janv. 35, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
The Business Benefits of Mobile Entertainment Attractions
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiWill we get AGI before 2033?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Temperature stock : Don't resolve before 2035.
- Resolve after 2035 based on a survey (manifold poll) where people estimate if OpenAI actions and influence were good and aligned with humanity flurishing in the period [2024-2035].
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- 224,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5 k €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 344,9 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Temperature market 🌡 : OpenAI business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing. ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 66% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Temperature market 🌡 : OpenAI business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing. sera-t-il résolu ?
- Temperature market 🌡 : OpenAI business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing. doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2035.
- Comment Temperature market 🌡 : OpenAI business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing. est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Temperature stock : Don't resolve before 2035.