SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.
IAOne-OffDivertissementManifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No (96.9%)
Résolu: 11 oct. 2026, 21:39
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 12 oct. 2026, 12:02 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes3.1%
No96.9%
Gagné
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold Markets“Will Mehdi Hasan appear as an in-studio guest on Real Time with Bill Maher before December 31, 2026?”
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KalshiState of AI gets ≥4 of 10 predictions right?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #4: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
