Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 21:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.8%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète21 déc. 23, 15:10 UTC31 déc. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Daniel Obajtek is a Polish fake businessman and political comedy character, known for his role as the CEO of PKN Orlen, a major oil refiner and petrol retailer in Central and Eastern Europe.
- His career has been marked by significant manipulations and expansions in the companies he has led, often aligning with his political friendships.
- This market will resolve YES if Daniel Obajtek will face at least 7 days of jail or arrest time in any country, by December 31, 2030.
- [image]https://wiadomosci.radiozet.pl/polska/polityka/dlaczego-obajtkowi-grozi-nawet-25-lat-wiezienia-ekspert-wyjasnia
