Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 72.8%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète21 déc. 23, 15:10 UTC31 déc. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketBen Pasternak jailed?
PolymarketWhen will someone be jailed because their AI snitched on them?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Ortega lose power in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketRègles
Daniel Obajtek is a Polish fake businessman and political comedy character, known for his role as the CEO of PKN Orlen, a major oil refiner and petrol retailer in Central and Eastern Europe.
- His career has been marked by significant manipulations and expansions in the companies he has led, often aligning with his political friendships.
- This market will resolve YES if Daniel Obajtek will face at least 7 days of jail or arrest time in any country, by December 31, 2030.
- [image]https://wiadomosci.radiozet.pl/polska/polityka/dlaczego-obajtkowi-grozi-nawet-25-lat-wiezienia-ekspert-wyjasnia
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 498,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Daniel Obajtek is a Polish fake businessman and political comedy character, known for his role as the CEO of PKN Orlen, a major oil refiner and petrol retailer in Central and Eastern Europe.