Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 67.8%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète15 déc. 23, 23:19 UTC31 déc. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketBen Pasternak jailed?
PolymarketWhen will someone be jailed because their AI snitched on them?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
KalshiWho will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Zbigniew Ziobro is a Polish politician and lawyer, born on August 18, 1970.
- A member of the Law and Justice Party (PiS), he has served as Poland's Minister of Justice and Public Prosecutor General.
- Known for his firm stance on law and order, Ziobro has been a key figure in Poland's judicial reforms, making him a significant yet polarizing figure in Polish politics.
- This market will resolve YES if Zbigniew Ziobro will face at least 7 days of jail or arrest time in any country, by December 31, 2030.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 498,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 68% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Zbigniew Ziobro is a Polish politician and lawyer, born on August 18, 1970.