Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 66.2%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète2 déc. 25, 00:05 UTC31 déc. 49, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by which date?
PolymarketWill North and South Korea be reunified any time through 2032
Manifold MarketsWill North and South Korea be unified under a single Korean government by the end of the century?
Manifold MarketsNorth-/South Korea, what happens till 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketLeague City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a new high‑speed rail (LGV‑type) corridor crossing central Paris north–south, enabling through high‑speed trains between Bordeaux and Lille without a change of trains, will be completed and open to passenger service before January 1st 2050.
- More detail on what counts:
- The corridor must be purpose‑built or substantially rebuilt for intercity high‑speed passenger trains (TGV or successors), not just for metro/RER/commuter services.
- Lower speeds in the tight central section are fine as long as the line is clearly part of the national high‑speed network.
- It must cross central Paris roughly north–south and include at least one station that clearly serves the city centre (for example an underground or surface station at/near Châtelet–Les Halles, Gare du Nord, or an equivalent central hub).
- The infrastructure must connect the high‑speed network on:
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 541,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536,7 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.8%
- Before March 202717.3%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Next James Bond actor?
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Paris gets a North-South TGV spine by 2050? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 66% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Paris gets a North-South TGV spine by 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Paris gets a North-South TGV spine by 2050? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2049.
- Comment Paris gets a North-South TGV spine by 2050? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a new high‑speed rail (LGV‑type) corridor crossing central Paris north–south, enabling through high‑speed trains between Bordeaux and Lille without a change of trains, will be completed and open to passenger service before January 1st 2050.