[Metaculus] Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussie / Ukraine2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 95.5%
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20
Type de question
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 28 minutes
16 nov. 23, 17:04 UTC25 févr. 29, 15:00 UTC
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PolymarketRègles
Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/18683/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves based on a comparison of the territory controlled by Ukraine at the resolution date (2029-02-24, seven years after the Russian invasion) and its 2013 territory excluding the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the city of Sevastopol.
- [image]It resolves as Yes if there is any part of the 2013 territory (represented in yellow and pink), excluding Crimea and Sevastopol (represented in striped area), that Ukraine does not de facto control in 2029.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.