Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 67.3%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète7 oct. 23, 13:27 UTC2 janv. 35, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine join NATO by 2033?
Manifold MarketsUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
PolymarketWhich countries will join NATO as members in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if Ukraine is inducted as a full member of NATO before January 1, 2035 at 00:00 UTC.
- If Ukraine is officially accepted as on the path to full induction, but does not actually become a full NATO member before 2035, that will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
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