Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffRussie / Ukraine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.5%
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète11 janv. 26, 22:53 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war
Manifold MarketsWill Spain lose any territory before 01/01/2030? (Either land or territorial waters)
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war
Manifold MarketsWhich European country will be the next to lose territory?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketWill Ukraine target Moscow on?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Ukraine’s net territorial loss within its 1991 borders is greater in 2026 than it was in 2025, according to a majority of the following sources:
- Black Bird Group
- Creamy caprice
- If a source fails to provide the necessary information within seven days of the market closing, it will be excluded and a majority of the remaining sources will be required for a YES resolution.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO.