[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffChine3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.9%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
20 juin 24, 07:27 UTC2 janv. 30, 01:00 UTC
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Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/22790/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if, at any point before 2030, the People's Liberation Army has been deployed to another country without that country's permission, resulting in the military occupation of a material amount of that country's territory by the PLA.
- Otherwise this question will resolve as No. For the purposes of this question the Republic of China/Taiwan will not be considered, even if it becomes a UN member state.
