LLM Psychosis Community declares war on the math establishment before 2027?
GéopolitiqueOne-OffIA3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète21 déc. 25, 03:19 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
[image]https://x.com/colin_fraser/status/2002562599846883694
- Resolves according to statements from Colin, or if he makes none or seems to have succumbed to LLM psychosis himself, my own judgement.
- Broadly interpreted, so e.g. any AI chatbot will count, doesn't have to be ChatGPT.
- There will be no AI clarifications added to this market's description.
Marchés ouverts
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- October 31-5.5pt17%
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+9 résultats de plus
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- Yes15.8%
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.5pt41%
- September 30+5.0pt24%
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- New People (NL)-0.1pt17%
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+5 résultats de plus
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- October 31+15.0pt63%
- September 30+19.0pt49%
- September 21+21.5pt42%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+7.0pt92%
- September 18+10.5pt91%
- September 4+11.0pt87%
+2 résultats de plus
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour LLM Psychosis Community declares war on the math establishment before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand LLM Psychosis Community declares war on the math establishment before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- LLM Psychosis Community declares war on the math establishment before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment LLM Psychosis Community declares war on the math establishment before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : [image]https://x.com/colin_fraser/status/2002562599846883694