PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 94%
Qualité du marché
66 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
43,1 €
Liquidité
8,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
6.1% / 6.2%
Écart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
3
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
1 mai 26, 22:15 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
- A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
- The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
- A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 94% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? sera-t-il résolu ?
- KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.