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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

1.5% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueGéopolitiqueMiddle East6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 7%-0.0%
Qualite du marche

61 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

20,4 k €

Liquidité

16,5 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-1.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes

1 mai 26, 22:1731 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes7%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
  • A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
  • The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
  • A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
  • A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
  • The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
  • A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.