KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueGéopolitiqueMiddle East5mo
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleNon 93%
Qualite du marche
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
3,6 k €
Liquidité
17,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
7.2% / 7.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+3.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
1 mai 26, 22:1531 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes7%
Tendance du volume
$4.1k3 juil.23j de données27 juil.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), or a ruling party, coalition, or executive official of the KRG, formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iraq and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iraq by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
- A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iraq and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iraqi governance.
- The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified.
- A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iraq as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.