Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleUS ground troops, including special operations forces, physically enter Iranian territory by May 1, 2026 100%En tête parmi 43 options
Prévisionnistes
523
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
7 mars 26, 10:557 mars 27, 10:55
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Mojtaba Khamenei dies by December 31, 202619%
Tendance du volume
$3.7k9 juil.12j de données28 juil.
Marchés Associés
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,4 M €July 31: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
692,3 k €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
509,1 k €August 31: 70%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,7 k €Oui: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What will Trump say during his meeting with Netanyahu?
2,8 k €Ceasefire: 47%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
2,1 k €Before Jan 1, 2027: 6%KALSHI
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Tracks the ongoing US-Iran war's airstrikes, naval clashes, and fallout from Khamenei's killing.
- Iran closed Strait of Hormuz after US sank its warships and hit nuclear sites.
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