Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAfter March 31 2026. 100%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
11 mars 26, 10:28 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:00 UTC
Tendances
100%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsIs Mojtaba Khamenei already dead?
Manifold MarketsTrump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- Mojtaba Khamenei was born on September 8, 1969, making him currently 56 years old.
- This market resolves based on the date of his death, if it occurs.
- Resolution will be determined by credible international news sources reporting his death, including major news agencies (Reuters, AP, BBC, etc.) or official Iranian government announcements.
- The market will resolve to whichever answer bracket corresponds to the date his death is confirmed.
- Mojtaba Khamenei was announced as Iran's new supreme leader on March 8, 2026, following the assassination of his father Ali Khamenei on February 28, 2026.
Marchés ouverts
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- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
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- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
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- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
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- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die? ?
- Manifold Markets cote After March 31 2026. à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die? sera-t-il résolu ?
- In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria