PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 7%+2.7ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
7 €
Liquidité
9,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
7.6 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
2
Variation 7j
+0.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
20 juil. 26, 02:25 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhy hasn't Mojtaba Khamenei been seen in public?
Manifold MarketsMojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?
PolymarketTrump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
- Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation.
- If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
