If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028
GéopolitiqueOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77.3%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète22 mars 24, 21:41 UTC2 janv. 28, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
Conditional market.
- If Kenya does not lead a military intervention by 2026 this will resolve N/A
- Sister market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/NivlacM/if-the-us-leads-a-military-interven)Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that for this market, the distinction between a 'military intervention' by Kenya and 'sending policemen' is not meaningful.
- The current Kenyan intervention (e.g., related to sending policemen) will count as a 'military intervention'.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 77% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028 sera-t-il résolu ?
- If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028 doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2028.
- Comment If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Conditional market.