If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?
One-OffEuropePolitiqueCriminalité et justice2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 70.7%
Non 70.7%Prévisionnistes
54
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard20 janv. 24, 09:46 UTC31 déc. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?
Manifold MarketsWill Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court decide the status of the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court decide that sports event contracts are protected under the Commodities Exchange Act? [1k subsidy]
Manifold MarketsTurkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
The AfD is a right-wing populist party in Germany.
- Parts of it are openly extremist, e.g. calling for mass deportations of immigrants, even if they are German citizens.
- They are currently polling at >20%.
- Some politicians and law experts have said that the AfD should be banned because it presents a danger to democracy.
- Because banning a party is a severe interference with foundational freedoms, the hurdles are high and it's not certain the process would be successful.
- Resolves N/A if nobody asks the court to ban the AfD.