Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 95.6%
Prévisionnistes
44
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
20 janv. 24, 09:57 UTC31 déc. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?
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Manifold MarketsWill the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This question resolves to YES, if either the federal government or any of the two chambers of parliament formally ask the constitutional court to ban the far-right party AfD which is currently polling at >20%.
- Resolves to NO otherwise.
- https://manifold.markets/LudwigBald/if-asked-will-the-german-constituti
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question resolves to YES, if either the federal government or any of the two chambers of parliament formally ask the constitutional court to ban the far-right party AfD which is currently polling at >20%.