Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
1 GW to 3 GW 33%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète16 oct. 24, 17:51 UTC16 janv. 35, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a Small Modular Reactor (SMR) enter commercial operation in the US before 2030?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
KalshiUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRègles
What will be the total capacity of commercial, civilian nuclear small modular reactors (SMRs) that will be online in the US on January 1, 2035, in gigawatts?
- Reactors must be sending energy to the grid or an end user.
- I'll defer somewhat to self-descriptions or convention as to what counts as an SMR.
- Probably means <400 MW but I'll see what people are saying in the future.
- But must be modular/factory-assembled.
- Left bounds inclusive, right bounds exclusive.
Marchés ouverts
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
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POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
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- Yes+0.2pt4%
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
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+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 1 GW to 3 GW à 33% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035? doit être résolu le 16 janvier 2035.
- Comment How much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : What will be the total capacity of commercial, civilian nuclear small modular reactors (SMRs) that will be online in the US on January 1, 2035, in gigawatts?