Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
1 GW to 3 GW 33%En tête parmi 5 options
1 GW to 3 GW 33%Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète16 oct. 24, 17:51 UTC16 janv. 35, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) for electricity generation be operating in Australia by Jan 1 2035?
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PolymarketRègles
What will be the total capacity of commercial, civilian nuclear small modular reactors (SMRs) that will be online in the US on January 1, 2035, in gigawatts?
- Reactors must be sending energy to the grid or an end user.
- I'll defer somewhat to self-descriptions or convention as to what counts as an SMR.
- Probably means <400 MW but I'll see what people are saying in the future.
- But must be modular/factory-assembled.
- Left bounds inclusive, right bounds exclusive.