Prévision communautaire actuelle
No change 76.8%+1.4ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète29 juil. 26, 18:1030 sept. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the September 2026 FOMC meeting (Sep. 15–16, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the September2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Gemini — Fed decision in September? · Fed maintains rate 66%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed rate decision in September 2026 · Fed maintains rate 65%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Fed interest rate decision — September 2026 · No change 73%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Fed decision in Sep 2026? · Fed maintains rate 65%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Fed Decision in September? · No change 67%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Fed Decision in September? · No change 68%
Marchés ouverts
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 36,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt66%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt31.1%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,1 M €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.4pt86.1%
- 1 (259.9%
- 2 (50-0.4pt3%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt83.3%
- Exactly 1 cut-1.1pt9.8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt64.4%
- Hike 25bps28.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.7%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 138,6 k €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change70.6%
- 25 bps increase23.5%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt3.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Fed decision in September? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No change à 77% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Fed decision in September? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Fed decision in September? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Fed decision in September? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the September 2026 FOMC meeting (Sep. 15–16, 2026).
- Où Fed decision in September? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Gemini, Robinhood (Rothera), Futuur, Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless.