Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.2%
Prévisionnistes
49
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète17 nov. 25, 03:49 UTC2 janv. 27, 03:47 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?
Manifold MarketsDid Donald Trump have Jeffrey Epstein killed?
Manifold MarketsDid Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump attend UFC 332?
KalshiWill Donald Trump attend UFC 333?
KalshiWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If it is reasonably proven by January 1, 2027, that Donald Trump had gay sex of any kind, this resolves to yes.
- This is by my discresion, but I will try to resolve it as accurately as possible.
- For purposes of this market, oral sex counts as sex.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 10,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 26 k €
POLYMARKETSBF released from custody in 2026?
- No+0.4pt98%
- Yes-0.4pt2%
- Volume total
- 404,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt25%
- October 31-1.5pt11%
- September 30-0.7pt3%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 202719%
- 2026-0.7pt5%
- Volume total
- 570,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+7.5pt59%
- 60+-11.5pt24%
- <20-0.3pt9%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- John Brennan+1.0pt54%
- Leon Black+3.0pt34%
- Anthony Fauci-2.0pt26%
+39 résultats de plus
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- Jimmy Lai released by which date?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Tim Walz in jail by which date?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Did Donald Trump have gay sex? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 94% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Did Donald Trump have gay sex? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Did Donald Trump have gay sex? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Did Donald Trump have gay sex? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If it is reasonably proven by January 1, 2027, that Donald Trump had gay sex of any kind, this resolves to yes.