Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)
US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 64.9%
Prévisionnistes
52
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète25 juil. 25, 01:00 UTC3 janv. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Will a court or congressional hearing be presented with sworn testimony stating that Donald Trump had sex with a minor, or with photo, video, or other recorded evidence to the same effect? This would include testimony on the stand or in a deposition, and could include both direct eyewitness or victim accounts or other unambiguous assertions without caveats by the witness.
- The testimony or evidence need not be publicly available if a consensus of credible reporting is available that it happened.
- For example, a court documenting describing the photo, or a news report summarizing the testimony is likely sufficient.
- There is no requirement that the evidence be compelling, or that there be a lack of evidence to the contrary; it must merely be presented under oath as fact without caveats or equivocation.
- Update 2025-07-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The term minor is defined by the applicable age of consent laws for the location and time of the alleged act.
- The market is about testimony regarding presumptively illegal acts.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.) ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.) doit être résolu le 3 janvier 2028.
- Comment Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will a court or congressional hearing be presented with sworn testimony stating that Donald Trump had sex with a minor, or with photo, video, or other recorded evidence to the same effect? This would include testimony on the stand or in a deposition, and could include both direct eyewitness or victim accounts or other unambiguous assertions without caveats by the witness.