Will any Manifold user be imprisoned in CECOT or a similar prison after deportation from the US during Trump's 2nd term?
One-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineCriminalité et justice2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.7%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 55 minutes
En retard14 avr. 25, 18:11 UTC20 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
To resolve YES, there must be credible reports that:
- 1) the proposed individual traded on Manifold at least once;
- 2) the proposed individual has been deported from the US;
- 3) the proposed individual is in CECOT or a prison with a similarly poor human rights record outside of the US.
