Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77.2%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète9 sept. 25, 02:10 UTC2 janv. 30, 03:05 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
PolymarketJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by which date?
PolymarketBy the end of 2028, it will be confirmed that Jeffrey Epstein was an foreign, or domestic intelligence asset.
Manifold MarketsDid Jeffrey Epstein kill himself?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeffrey Epstein be found alive by 2028?
Manifold MarketsIs Jeffrey Epstein still alive and manipulating the markets? Will we find out by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves true if Donald Trump is convicted of crimes related to the killing of Jeffrey Epstein or if, at some time after Trump's death, it becomes broadly accepted that he was involved with the murder.
- Resolves false if someone else is convicted in a manner that completely exonerates Trump or if a video or other equivalent clear evidence of suicide is made public.
- I will err on the side of not resolving this market if the state of affairs remains uncertain.
- If the state of uncertainty around Epstein's death remains comparable to how it is today (at the end of 2025) I will resolve the market null in 2030.
- I will trade on this market.
