Prévision communautaire actuelle
2030-12-31 26.1%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète10 août 24, 22:32 UTC1 janv. 31, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an Artemis mission launch with a Centaur V upper stage?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt?
Manifold MarketsChopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by which date?
PolymarketSpace Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
PolymarketBy when will JAXA's Martian Moons eXploration mission launch?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRègles
The Exploration Upper Stage is currently planned to fly as part of the Artemis 4 mission in September 2028.
- When will it fly?
- All options are on or before the date/time listed, local time at the launch site.
- Resolves on launch of the carrier rocket; success of the launch or the stage itself is not required.
- All options resolve No if the EUS program is cancelled.
- Use in the Artemis 4 mission is not required; if it's replaced with something else on that mission and then flies on some other launch, options resolve according to when it flies.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2030-12-31 à 26% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch? sera-t-il résolu ?
- By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Exploration Upper Stage is currently planned to fly as part of the Artemis 4 mission in September 2028.