Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 01:48 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
2030-12-31 26.1%En tête parmi 3 options
2030-12-31 26.1%Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète10 août 24, 22:32 UTC1 janv. 31, 06:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an Artemis mission launch with a Centaur V upper stage?
Manifold MarketsChopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by which date?
PolymarketWill Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRègles
The Exploration Upper Stage is currently planned to fly as part of the Artemis 4 mission in September 2028.
- When will it fly?
- All options are on or before the date/time listed, local time at the launch site.
- Resolves on launch of the carrier rocket; success of the launch or the stage itself is not required.
- All options resolve No if the EUS program is cancelled.
- Use in the Artemis 4 mission is not required; if it's replaced with something else on that mission and then flies on some other launch, options resolve according to when it flies.