Prévision communautaire actuelle
United States 57%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète11 janv. 24, 14:27 UTC3 janv. 30, 19:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
Manifold MarketsHow many people will have walked on the Moon, when there are 100 people on it?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will have walked on Mars, when there are 100 people on it?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRègles
This market does not count Apollo astronauts; only astronauts who walk on the moon after market creation will count.
- To add countries, please use a simple, English, colloquial name for the country.
- I reserve the right to make good faith edits to new answers in order to match the style.
- This market closes a few days after New Year’s Day to allow for clarity around potential ambiguous circumstances.
- Related markets:
- @/jks/by-2030-which-countries-will-have-c
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
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- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour By 2030, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo) ?
- Manifold Markets cote United States à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand By 2030, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo) sera-t-il résolu ?
- By 2030, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo) doit être résolu le 3 janvier 2030.
- Comment By 2030, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market does not count Apollo astronauts; only astronauts who walk on the moon after market creation will count.