30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?
FedOne-OffInflationBonds & TreasuriesPolitiqueUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 65.3%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
30 mai 25, 19:20 UTC19 janv. 29, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond reaches or exceeds 5.6% at any point during Donald Trump's second term as President of the United States.
- Trump's second term began on January 20, 2025, and is scheduled to end on January 20, 2029.
- The yield data will be verified using official sources such as the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates (tradingeconomics.com) or the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (fred.stlouisfed.org).
- If the yield does not reach 5.6% during this period, the market will resolve to "No."
- The 30-year Treasury yield reflects investor sentiment about long-term economic growth and inflation expectations.
