KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 98%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
19,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
0.6% / 1.0%
Écart
0.4 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
6 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill credit card rates be capped in 2026?
KalshiECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the Federal Reserve sets the target federal funds rate range to 0.00-0.25%, or lower, before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will rates hit zero in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 98% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will rates hit zero in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will rates hit zero in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will rates hit zero in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Federal Reserve sets the target federal funds rate range to 0.00-0.25%, or lower, before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.