KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2028 49%En tête parmi 3 options
Before Jan 1, 2028 49%Qualité du marché
59 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
21,8 €
Intérêt ouvert
24,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
27 juil. 26, 22:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2028
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
