KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2028 38%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
19,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
27 juil. 26, 22:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by which date?
PolymarketWill Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Supreme Court of the United States
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Marchés ouverts
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KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2028 à 38% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.