Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?
US PoliticsOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 63.5%
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9
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète12 nov. 24, 02:58 UTC20 mai 28, 16:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
On 23 October 1991, Clarence Thomas took the oaths of office to become a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States of America.
- If he remains in office until 20 May 2028, then he will break William O. Douglas's record court tenure of 36 years and 209 days.
- Born on 23 June 1948, Justice Thomas will be 79 years, 10 months, and 27 days old on 20 May 2028.
- Resolves YES if Clarence Thomas remains a sitting justice for at least 36 years and 210 days.
- If served consecutively, this will occur on 20 May 2028.
- If he retires, returns to the Supreme Court, and then breaks the record, I will eat my hat.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice? doit être résolu le 20 mai 2028.
- Comment Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : On 23 October 1991, Clarence Thomas took the oaths of office to become a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States of America.