PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
June 30, 2027 14%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
13,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
5.6 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-1.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
1 juil. 26, 21:49 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?
KalshiWill Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
- Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.