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Données au 15 sept. 2026, 11:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Kimi 0%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualité du marché
26 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueÉcart
9.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
11 sept. 26, 16:00 UTC18 sept. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Open Source market share on Sep 14th
KalshiOpen Source market share on Sep 16th
KalshiUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)
Manifold MarketsWill open-source AI win? (through 2028)
Manifold MarketsWill it take <=12 months for open-source AI forecasting to go from consistently worse than humans to broadly superhuman?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Kimi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Sep 18, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Artificial Analysis - Open Source
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If GLM is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Sep 18, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 70,3 k €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,4 k €
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 21,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21,9 k €
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 20,9 k €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Top Open Source AI this week ?
- Kalshi cote Kimi à 0% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Top Open Source AI this week sera-t-il résolu ?
- Top Open Source AI this week doit être résolu le 18 septembre 2026.
- Comment Top Open Source AI this week est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Kimi is the Highest Ranked model on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (Open Source) on Sep 18, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.