KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 5 95%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
58 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
374,1 €
Liquidité
5,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
1 sept. 26, 18:00 UTC6 oct. 26, 12:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
McDonald's Foot Traffic in September
KalshiBurger King Foot Traffic in September
KalshiTarget Foot Traffic in September
KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketRègles
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:IMF PortWatch
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 719,6 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8 k €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 résultats de plus
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026) ?
- Kalshi cote At least 5 à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026) doit être résolu le 6 octobre 2026.
- Comment Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.