KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 8 sept. 2026, 20:25 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueAchat / Vente
32.0% / 40.0%
Écart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
20 août 26, 18:00 UTC1 janv. 30, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
100%
0%
Règles
If CK Hutchison has achieved the superior outcome in the trial-level resolution of its Panama ports arbitration (originally filed in the ICC), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Panama ports arbitration is the International Chamber of Commerce arbitration brought against the Republic of Panama over the Balboa and Cristobal terminals by Panama Ports Company, CK Hutchison's subsidiary.
- A recovery by Panama Ports Company is a recovery by CK Hutchison for the purposes of this market.
- CK Hutchison's separate treaty-based claim against Panama, and its arbitration against Maersk, do not resolve this market.
- If no trial-level resolution occurs before the expiration date, the market resolves to No. CK Hutchison achieves the superior outcome through the following exclusive hierarchy:
Marchés ouverts
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1 k €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If CK Hutchison has achieved the superior outcome in the trial-level resolution of its Panama ports arbitration (originally filed in the ICC), then the market resolves to Yes.