KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
125 million and above 22%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
35,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.4 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
21 févr. 26, 21:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolymarketIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketTX-15 House winner?
KalshiRègles
If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the Clerk of the House
- The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
- Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
- In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
- If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total.
- If a runoff forms part of the certified result, it is encompassed.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 112,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 184,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 891,3 k €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 505,9 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- 25,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 384,3 k €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- 2,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 358,3 k €
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- Iowa Senate winner?
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- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? ?
- Kalshi cote 125 million and above à 22% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? sera-t-il résolu ?
- 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.