If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?

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Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win? ?

Manifold Markets cote 0-0.5% à 69.7% au 29 octobre 2026.

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If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win? doit être résolu le 3 janvier 2027.

Comment If Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If the party does not end up being created, this market will resolve n/a.

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KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+5.0pt69.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt26.5%
• Republicans sweep-2.7pt5.5%

+1 résultats de plus

Volume total

68,6 M €

Volume 24h

9 M €

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+3.0pt71.5%
• Ken Paxton-2.0pt29.5%

Volume total

51,5 M €

Volume 24h

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+1.7pt93.7%
• Republican Party-2.0pt6.3%

Volume total

76,6 M €

Volume 24h

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+2.0pt68.6%
• R Senate, D-2.0pt24.5%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt5.9%

+2 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt93.1%
• Republican Party-1.0pt6.9%

Volume total

29,5 M €

Volume 24h

1,8 M €

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Democratic Party+2.0pt70.3%
• Republican Party-2.0pt29.7%

Volume total

11,6 M €

Volume 24h

1,8 M €

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