PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
125-130m 22.3%-0.5ptEn tête parmi 11 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
15,9 €
Liquidité
109,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-1.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
20 févr. 26, 17:41 UTC3 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolymarketIf Musk registers a new party before the 2026 midterms, what % of House votes will it win?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRègles
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? · 125 million and above 22%
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 112,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 184,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 891,3 k €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 505,9 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- 25,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 384,3 k €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- 2,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 358,3 k €
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- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 2026 Midterms: House Turnout ?
- Polymarket cote 125-130m à 22% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand 2026 Midterms: House Turnout sera-t-il résolu ?
- 2026 Midterms: House Turnout doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment 2026 Midterms: House Turnout est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Où 2026 Midterms: House Turnout est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.