PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOther 46%En tête parmi 14 options
Qualite du marche
89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
9 k €
Liquidité
328,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
5.9%
Spread modéréVariation 7j
+3.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
19 févr. 26, 0:293 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Other46%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
1.0%1a
-1.0%15%
+2.0%19%
+1.0%28%
+7 résultats de plus
60 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total3,8 k €
Volume 24h162 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election.
- The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S.
- House candidates in the election.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S.
- Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election.
- The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S.
- House candidates in the election.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S.
- Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.