2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
8.5 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection3mo
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOther 46%En tête parmi 14 options
Qualite du marche
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
9 k €
Liquidité
277,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
32.0% / 34.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread modéréVariation 7j
+8.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
19 févr. 26, 0:273 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Other46%
Tendance du volume
$10.3k4 juil.19j de données27 juil.
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This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election.
- The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S.
- House candidates in the election.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S.
- Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.