KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: >0 50%+8.0ptEn tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,6 k €
Liquidité
54,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
29 juil. 26, 20:00 UTC16 sept. 26, 17:55 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many dissenting votes at the September Fed meeting?
KalshiWho will dissent at the September Fed meeting?
KalshiWill exactly one FOMC member dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting?
ForecastExWill exactly zero FOMC members dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting?
ForecastExWill exactly three FOMC members dissent at the September 16, 2026 Fed meeting?
ForecastExHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
PolymarketRègles
If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve Board of Governors
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Federal Funds Rate Decision uses FEDDECISION, Dissents uses FOMCDISSENTCOUNT.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
- If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,2 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 543,5 k €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44,4 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents ?
- Kalshi cote Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: >0 à 50% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents sera-t-il résolu ?
- September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents doit être résolu le 16 septembre 2026.
- Comment September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0, then the market resolves to Yes.