KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 79%
Qualité du marché
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
21.0% / 28.0%
Écart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
27 févr. 26, 20:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsWill a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026?
KalshiWill any major U.S. city mandate remote work options for city employees by 2026?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRègles
If any tech company officially announces One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostABCCBSCNNMSNBCNBCthe Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsReutersthe Associated PressCNBCAxiosPoliticoThe Information
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+9.0pt80.2%
- Yes-9.0pt19.8%
- Volume total
- 15,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 M €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt53%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-11.0pt53%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+15.0pt39%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-6.0pt81%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- December 31,-3.0pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Jacky Rosen+0.5pt38%
- Kirsten Gillibrand+9.0pt37%
- Ruben Gallego-14.5pt35%
+12 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Above 50-7.0pt54%
- Above 55-22.0pt42%
- Above 58-8.0pt38%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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- Conference to Win the National Championship
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 79% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? sera-t-il résolu ?
- One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If any tech company officially announces One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.