KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Kirsten Gillibrand 77%En tête parmi 14 options
Qualité du marché
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
7,1 k €
Liquidité
6,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
15 sept. 26, 02:00 UTC1 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWill the Senate invoke cloture on the Clarity Act this week?
PredictItWhen will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
KalshiWhen will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
LimitlessWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketRègles
If the named outcome votes for the motion to invoke cloture on the motion to proceed to H.R. 3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act in the Senate before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Congress
- The qualifying vote is the first Senate vote to invoke cloture on the specified motion.
- This must be a vote in the relevant full chamber, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote.
- Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by the member to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other Congressional source.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+9.0pt80.2%
- Yes-9.0pt19.8%
- Volume total
- 15,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 M €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-5.0pt53%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-11.0pt53%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+15.0pt39%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-6.0pt81%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- December 31,-3.0pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Jacky Rosen+0.5pt38%
- Kirsten Gillibrand+9.0pt37%
- Ruben Gallego-14.5pt35%
+12 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Above 50-7.0pt54%
- Above 55-22.0pt42%
- Above 58-8.0pt38%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture? ?
- Kalshi cote Kirsten Gillibrand à 77% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome votes for the motion to invoke cloture on the motion to proceed to H.R. 3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act in the Senate before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.