PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 5%
Qualite du marche
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
12,9 k €
Liquidité
41,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréComments
0
Variation 7j
-1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
30 juil. 26, 20:021 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness announces that it will cease operations, that Situational Awareness LP will be wound down, or that all outside investor capital in Situational Awareness LP will be returned, by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A conversion to a family office or proprietary vehicle, or a distribution of assets in kind to investors, will qualify if all outside investor capital is returned or announced to be returned.
- A transition of all assets to a liquidating trust or special purpose vehicle will qualify if that vehicle is announced to accept no new outside capital.
- A consensus of credible reporting that Situational Awareness has ceased operations, that Situational Awareness LP has been wound down, or that all outside investor capital in Situational Awareness LP has been returned, will also qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
- The following will not qualify: closing the fund to new investors; redemption gates or suspensions; redemptions made under existing lockup terms; the liquidation of positions, a strategy, or a portfolio without a wind-down of the fund; partial redemptions; or a renamed, successor, continuation, or rollover vehicle that continues to accept outside capital.
