KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Alibaba 78%+3.0ptEn tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
50 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
11,6 k €
Liquidité
14,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
31 août 26, 14:0114 sept. 26, 14:00
Tendances
Règles
If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 14, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Marchés ouverts
AI
POLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- October 31+2.4pt99%
- September 30+4.0pt96%
- September 15+1.5pt89%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 934,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 195 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.2pt68%
- ChatGPT-1.2pt12.6%
- Grok+0.4pt9.7%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 8,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+20.5pt76.2%
- Moonshot-13.9pt13.9%
- Z.ai-8.0pt5.9%
+8 résultats de plus
GEMINIBTC price on September 1
- $77,000 or above88%
- $77,250 or above75.5%
- $77,500 or above52%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 31,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 31,6 k €
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- October 31+3.9pt99%
- September 30+11.7pt96%
- September 15+8.9pt86%
+7 résultats de plus
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th ?
- Kalshi cote Alibaba à 78% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th sera-t-il résolu ?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th doit être résolu le 14 septembre 2026.
- Comment Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 14, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.