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Données au 9 sept. 2026, 00:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before July, 2028 25%
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
99,2 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
20.0% / 27.0%
Écart
7.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
1 juil. 26, 02:27 UTC1 juil. 28, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiBlue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
PolymarketWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsWill the Department of Government Efficiency recommend cancelling Blue Origin's Human Landing System before 2029?
Manifold MarketsAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRègles
If Blue Origin launches New Shepard After issuance and before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Blue Origin launches New Shepard After issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard ?
- Kalshi cote Before July, 2028 à 25% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard doit être résolu le 1 juillet 2028.
- Comment When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Blue Origin launches New Shepard After issuance and before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.